World Meteorological Warns of El Niño Rains in the Coming Months
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The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has warned that El Niño conditions are likely to develop in the coming months, raising concerns over heavy rainfall, flooding, and rising temperatures in many parts of the world, including East Africa.
According to the latest climate update released by the agency, there is an 80 percent chance that El Niño will form between June and August 2026 in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Weather experts also project that the phenomenon could continue until the end of the year.
Heavy Rainfall Expected in East Africa
The WMO says countries in the Horn of Africa, including Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and South Sudan, are likely to experience above-normal rainfall during the coming months.
The increased rainfall could lead to flooding, landslides, and damage to roads, homes, and farms. Communities living in flood-prone areas may face a higher risk of displacement and loss of property.
Rising Global Temperatures
Apart from increased rainfall, the climate agency has warned that temperatures are expected to remain above average in many regions around the world.
Scientists attribute the development of El Niño to unusually warm waters beneath the surface of the Pacific Ocean. As the ocean warms, weather patterns across different regions are affected, often resulting in extreme weather events.
Kenya Could Experience Weather Extremes
Kenya has previously experienced severe impacts from El Niño events. The 1997-1998 El Niño season brought widespread flooding, destruction of infrastructure, and loss of lives in several parts of the country.
More recently, the 2023-2024 El Niño season contributed to devastating floods that affected thousands of families, damaged roads, and disrupted businesses across Kenya.
The WMO has urged governments and communities to remain prepared as El Niño conditions increase the likelihood of extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall and flooding in some areas, while others may experience dry conditions and drought.
As weather experts continue monitoring the situation, Kenyans are being encouraged to follow official weather updates and take necessary precautions, especially in areas vulnerable to floods.




